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  • New world cup Over 2.5

    🏆 Top Over 2.5 Goals Picks

    AI ensemble: bookmaker market + head-to-head + Poisson + Monte Carlo

    #1 79.6%
    Germany National Team
    vs
    Curacao National Team
    Date: June 14, 2026 5:00 pm
    Expected goals: 4.25
    Over 2.5 odds: 1.14
    Model breakdown:
    • Bookmaker market 79.6% (weight 55%)
    • Poisson model 79.6% (weight 15%)
    • Monte Carlo 79.9% (weight 10%)

    Germany National Team vs Curacao National Team. Estimated expected goals: 4.25. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 80%. Poisson: 80%. Monte Carlo: 80%. Final ensemble confidence: 79.6%.

    #2 70.0%
    Spain National Team
    vs
    Cape Verde Islands National Team
    Date: June 15, 2026 4:00 pm
    Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
    Expected goals: 3.61
    Over 2.5 odds: 1.33
    Model breakdown:
    • Bookmaker market 70.0% (weight 55%)
    • Poisson model 70.0% (weight 15%)
    • Monte Carlo 70.4% (weight 10%)

    Spain National Team vs Cape Verde Islands National Team. Estimated expected goals: 3.61. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 70%. Poisson: 70%. Monte Carlo: 70%. Final ensemble confidence: 70.0%.

    #3 60.1%
    Iraq National Team
    vs
    Norway National Team
    Date: June 16, 2026 10:00 pm
    Venue: Gillette Stadium
    Expected goals: 3.11
    Over 2.5 odds: 1.57
    Model breakdown:
    • Bookmaker market 60.2% (weight 55%)
    • Poisson model 60.2% (weight 15%)
    • Monte Carlo 59.9% (weight 10%)

    Iraq National Team vs Norway National Team. Estimated expected goals: 3.11. Bookmaker no-vig P(Over 2.5): 60%. Poisson: 60%. Monte Carlo: 60%. Final ensemble confidence: 60.1%.

    Predictions are statistical estimates only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please bet responsibly.